MarketRadar read: neutral
US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY) trades at 157.863, climbed +0.36% in the last 24 hours. Day range: 157.300–161.000. Here are the levels that matter across timeframes, each marked on its chart, with the fundamental backdrop underneath.
Market snapshot
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | 157.863 |
| 24h change | +0.36% |
| Day range | 157.300 – 161.000 |
| Previous day high / low | 161.327 / 157.200 |
| Previous week high / low | 162.948 / 157.195 |
Previous session — where the day closed
The last daily candle closed at 157.300, higher by +0.36%, after trading between 157.200 and 161.327.
That is closing inside the previous session's range — no clear winner into the close. The close sits below the 50-period average at 157.542.
Fundamental backdrop
Standing macro backdrop: the Fed's stance is hawkish / tightening cycle; after a 25bp HIKE on 2026-09-16; September NFP printed 29,000 vs 90,000 consensus — a big dovish miss. (MarketRadar macro desk, updated 2026-10-08.)
D1 — USDJPY daily
Price 157.863 — structure favors buyers on the daily chart (50-period average 157.542, ATR 4.540). Resistance: 158.000, 159.000, 160.000. Support: 157.000, 156.000, 155.000. Buy-side liquidity sits above 162.947. Sell-side liquidity rests below 152.270. Supply zone 161.132–164.764; demand zone 151.684–155.316. Daily closes carry the most weight — when D1 and H4 agree, the move usually has legs.
H4 — USDJPY 4-hour
At 157.863, structure favors sellers on the 4-hour timeframe (50-period average 159.523, ATR 3.206). Overhead hurdles: 158.000, 159.000, 160.000. Downside cushions: 157.219, 157.200, 157.000. Buyers' liquidity pools above 161.513. Sellers' liquidity pools below 157.134. Overhead supply sits at 160.045–162.609, with demand at 155.918–158.482. The swing trader's execution timeframe.
H1 — USDJPY 1-hour
The hourly picture at 157.863 shows no clear directional edge (50-period average 158.440, ATR 1.087). Sellers are stacked at 158.000, 159.000, 160.000; buyers at 157.400, 157.200, 157.000. Resting buy orders cluster over 160.993. Resting sell orders cluster under 157.132. 160.565–161.435 marks the supply zone; 156.965–157.835 the demand zone.
M15 — USDJPY 15-minute
157.863 on the 15-minute: structure favors sellers intraday (50-period average 157.936, ATR 0.024). Intraday cap 158.000, 159.000, 160.000, floor 157.000, 156.000, 155.000. Buy-side stops are stacked above 161.000. Watch supply at 160.990–161.010 and demand at 157.290–157.310. Entries only here. Never take directional bias from M15.
Key levels to watch
| Level | Type | Spotted on |
|---|---|---|
| 160.000 | Resistance | D1 |
| 159.000 | Resistance | D1 |
| 158.000 | Resistance | D1 |
| 157.400 | Support | H1 |
| 157.219 | Support | H4 |
| 157.200 | Support | H4 |
| 157.000 | Support | D1 |
| 156.000 | Support | D1 |
| 155.000 | Support | D1 |
Scenarios
Bullish — buyers hold 157.219: the trigger is a 4-hour close back above 158.000, which opens the path toward 159.000. Confirmation strengthens if the hourly structure flips bullish as well. This view fails on a 4-hour close below 157.219.
Bearish — sellers break 157.219: the trigger is a 4-hour close under 157.219, which exposes 157.200 next. This view fails if price reclaims 158.000 on a 4-hour close.
Neutral — chop between 157.219 and 158.000: both edges are the levels to watch; a 4-hour close outside picks the direction.
Levels are zones, not exact lines. Waiting for a 4-hour close beyond a level filters out most intraday noise.
Charts
A quick note on the SBT lens used below. Structure-Based Trading defines ten models, and every one of them is built on the same foundation: a proper 123 swing pattern, a break of structure (BOS), and a price-delivery array — an order block, fair-value gap or mitigation zone — where price is expected to react. Each chart reading names the SBT model forming on that timeframe when its criteria are actually visible, and says so plainly when none is.
Chart reading — D1: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting bullish inside its range. Price wicked into the supply zone 161.132–164.764 and held — sellers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. Turtle soup: bearish liquidity at 162.947 was swept and price closed back inside the range. SBT Models 9/10 are built for exactly this — the sweep is the inducement, and the opposite PD array is the next magnet.
Chart reading — H4: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting bearish inside its range. A wick probed the demand zone 155.918–158.482 and was absorbed — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. The equal-high pool at 161.513 holds resting buy-side liquidity. A sweep there before the real move is the inducement leg SBT Models 7/8 look for — watch 157.219 / 158.000 for the follow-through.
Chart reading — H1: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting neutral inside its range. A sharp excursion into the demand zone 156.965–157.835 got faded — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. Matching highs/lows mark 160.993: resting buy-side liquidity. A sweep there before the real move is the inducement leg SBT Models 7/8 look for — watch 157.400 / 158.000 for the follow-through.
Chart reading — M15: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting bearish inside its range. The supply zone 160.990–161.010 above is the PD array to watch — untouched so far, and the bearish scenario needs it to hold. Equal highs/lows at 161.000: resting buy-side liquidity — a sweep here is the inducement leg.
A final note
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research before making any decision.
