MarketRadar read: neutral
Euro / US Dollar (EURUSD) trades at 1.12343, climbed +0.20% in the last 24 hours. Day range: 1.11880–1.12466. Here are the levels that matter across timeframes, each marked on its chart, with the fundamental backdrop underneath.
Market snapshot
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | 1.12343 |
| 24h change | +0.20% |
| Day range | 1.11880 – 1.12466 |
| Previous day high / low | 1.12358 / 1.11700 |
| Previous week high / low | 1.12371 / 1.11117 |
Previous session — where the day closed
The last daily candle closed at 1.12115, higher by +0.20%, after trading between 1.11700 and 1.12358.
That is closing inside the previous session's range — no clear winner into the close. The close sits below the 50-period average at 1.14214.
Fundamental backdrop
- Fed's Warsh Says US Facing Massive Investment Surge — Bloomberg Markets
Standing macro backdrop: the Fed's stance is hawkish / tightening cycle; after a 25bp HIKE on 2026-09-16; September NFP printed 29,000 vs 90,000 consensus — a big dovish miss. (MarketRadar macro desk, updated 2026-10-14.)
D1 — EURUSD daily
Price 1.12346 — structure favors sellers on the daily chart (50-period average 1.14214, ATR 0.00746). Resistance: 1.13000, 1.14000, 1.14512. Support: 1.12185, 1.12000, 1.11629. Supply zone 1.14214–1.14810; demand zone 1.11331–1.11927. Daily closes carry the most weight — when D1 and H4 agree, the move usually has legs.
H4 — EURUSD 4-hour
At 1.12342, no clear directional edge on the 4-hour timeframe (50-period average 1.11947, ATR 0.00334). Overhead hurdles: 1.13000, 1.14000, 1.15000. Downside cushions: 1.12000, 1.11300, 1.11117. Buyers' liquidity pools above 1.12365. Overhead supply sits at 1.12225–1.12491, with demand at 1.10984–1.11250. The swing trader's execution timeframe.
H1 — EURUSD 1-hour
The hourly picture at 1.12343 shows structure favors buyers (50-period average 1.11948, ATR 0.00105). Sellers are stacked at 1.12397, 1.13000, 1.14000; buyers at 1.12068, 1.12000, 1.11880. 1.12355–1.12439 marks the supply zone; 1.12026–1.12110 the demand zone.
M15 — EURUSD 15-minute
1.12343 on the 15-minute: structure favors buyers intraday (50-period average 1.12185, ATR 0.00060). Intraday cap 1.12397, 1.13000, 1.14000, floor 1.12198, 1.12102, 1.12000. Sell-side stops are stacked below 1.12071. Watch supply at 1.12373–1.12421 and demand at 1.12174–1.12222. Entries only here. Never take directional bias from M15.
Key levels to watch
| Level | Type | Spotted on |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15000 | Resistance | H4 |
| 1.14000 | Resistance | D1 |
| 1.13000 | Resistance | D1 |
| 1.12397 | Resistance | H1 |
| 1.11300 | Support | H4 |
Scenarios
Bullish — buyers hold 1.12000: the trigger is a 4-hour close back above 1.13000, which opens the path toward 1.14000. Confirmation strengthens if the hourly structure flips bullish as well. This view fails on a 4-hour close below 1.12000.
Bearish — sellers break 1.12000: the trigger is a 4-hour close under 1.12000, which exposes 1.11300 next. This view fails if price reclaims 1.13000 on a 4-hour close.
Neutral — chop between 1.12000 and 1.13000: both edges are the levels to watch; a 4-hour close outside picks the direction.
Levels are zones, not exact lines. Waiting for a 4-hour close beyond a level filters out most intraday noise.
Charts
A quick note on the SBT lens used below. Structure-Based Trading defines ten models, and every one of them is built on the same foundation: a proper 123 swing pattern, a break of structure (BOS), and a price-delivery array — an order block, fair-value gap or mitigation zone — where price is expected to react. Each chart reading names the SBT model forming on that timeframe when its criteria are actually visible, and says so plainly when none is.
Chart reading — D1: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting bearish inside its range. Price wicked into the demand zone 1.11331–1.11927 and held — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. No clean equal-high/low liquidity pools sit near price on the daily chart.
Chart reading — H4: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting neutral inside its range. A wick probed the supply zone 1.12225–1.12491 and was absorbed — sellers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. Turtle soup: bearish liquidity at 1.12365 was swept and price closed back inside the range. SBT Models 9/10 are built for exactly this — the sweep is the inducement, and the opposite PD array is the next magnet.
Chart reading — H1: No clean 123 on this timeframe — price is drifting bullish inside its range. A sharp excursion into the demand zone 1.12026–1.12110 got faded — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. No equal-high/low liquidity pools nearby on this timeframe.
Chart reading — M15: We can see a completed bullish 123 with break of structure — the foundation every SBT model (1–10) builds on. A stop-run wick tagged the supply zone 1.12373–1.12421 and failed — sellers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. Equal highs/lows at 1.12071: resting sell-side liquidity — a sweep here is the inducement leg.
A final note
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research before making any decision.
