MarketRadar read: neutral
Price as of 15:07 UTC on October 25, 2026: Ethereum (ETHUSD) trades at 2,341.14, slipped -0.61% over the last 24 hours, with a day range of 2,291.96–2,368.33. Today's setup is rejection at resistance — price faded from resistance 2,350.00. Below are the levels that matter on the daily, 4-hour, 1-hour and 15-minute timeframes, each marked on its chart, plus the fundamental backdrop driving flows. This page is a snapshot at the time above; it does not update live.
Market snapshot
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | 2,341.14 |
| 24h change | -0.61% |
| Day range | 2,291.96 – 2,368.33 |
| Previous day high / low | 2,387.07 / 2,279.80 |
| Previous week high / low | 2,524.58 / 2,279.80 |
Previous session — where the day closed
The last daily candle closed at 2,355.56, lower by -0.61%, after trading between 2,279.80 and 2,387.07.
That is closing inside the previous session's range — no clear winner into the close. The close sits below the 50-period average at 2,543.54.
What changed since yesterday
The overnight picture: ETHUSD closed yesterday at 2,355.56 and now trades at 2,341.14 (-0.61%), a 14.42 change.
Market view
The honest read, in my view, is this. The setup today is rejection at resistance: price faded from resistance 2,350.00. With a daily bias of bearish, the first test that matters is 2,350.00 above and 2,313.42 below. If price holds above 2,313.42, the path to 2,350.00 stays open; lose 2,313.42 and the tone flips. Sellers have the initiative after a -0.61% day, but a close back above 2,350.00 would hand it straight back.
D1 — ETHUSD daily
Price 2,341.14 — structure favors sellers on the daily chart (50-period average 2,543.54, ATR 102.19). Resistance: 2,350.00, 2,400.00, 2,450.00. Support: 2,313.42, 2,300.00, 2,250.00. Supply zone 2,483.70–2,565.46; demand zone 2,272.54–2,354.30. Daily closes carry the most weight — when D1 and H4 agree, the move usually has legs.
H4 — ETHUSD 4-hour
At 2,341.14, structure favors sellers on the 4-hour timeframe (50-period average 2,402.47, ATR 32.02). Overhead hurdles: 2,350.00, 2,400.00, 2,414.63. Downside cushions: 2,300.00, 2,279.80, 2,250.00. Overhead supply sits at 2,401.82–2,427.44, with demand at 2,266.99–2,292.61. The swing trader's execution timeframe.
H1 — ETHUSD 1-hour
The hourly picture at 2,341.14 shows no clear directional edge (50-period average 2,359.92, ATR 12.86). Sellers are stacked at 2,350.00, 2,368.33, 2,387.07; buyers at 2,315.53, 2,300.00, 2,279.80. 2,363.19–2,373.47 marks the supply zone; 2,310.39–2,320.67 the demand zone.
M15 — ETHUSD 15-minute
2,341.14 on the 15-minute: no clear directional edge intraday (50-period average 2,340.62, ATR 6.69). Intraday cap 2,350.00, 2,400.00, 2,450.00, floor 2,323.52, 2,319.34, 2,300.00. Watch supply at 2,345.23–2,350.59 and demand at 2,320.84–2,326.20. Entries only here. Never take directional bias from M15.
Key levels to watch
| Level | Type | Spotted on |
|---|---|---|
| 2,450.00 | Resistance | D1 |
| 2,414.63 | Resistance | H4 |
| 2,400.00 | Resistance | D1 |
| 2,387.07 | Resistance | H1 |
| 2,368.33 | Resistance | H1 |
| 2,350.00 | Resistance | D1 |
| 2,323.52 | Support | M15 |
| 2,319.34 | Support | M15 |
| 2,315.53 | Support | H1 |
| 2,313.42 | Support | D1 |
| 2,300.00 | Support | D1 |
| 2,279.80 | Support | H4 |
Scenarios
Bullish — buyers hold 2,300.00: the trigger is a 4-hour close back above 2,350.00, which opens the path toward 2,400.00. Confirmation strengthens if the hourly structure flips bullish as well. This view fails on a 4-hour close below 2,300.00.
Bearish — sellers break 2,300.00: the trigger is a 4-hour close under 2,300.00, which exposes 2,279.80 next. This view fails if price reclaims 2,350.00 on a 4-hour close.
Neutral — chop between 2,300.00 and 2,350.00: both edges are the levels to watch; a 4-hour close outside picks the direction.
Levels are zones, not exact lines. Waiting for a 4-hour close beyond a level filters out most intraday noise.
Fundamental backdrop
Per Nasdaq, If the Stock Market Crashes This Is the First ETF I'm Loading Up On is the main fundamental thread for ETHUSD today. CoinDesk reported UK banks face complaints in months over crypto restrictions, which adds a second driver to watch alongside the first. Taken together, the backdrop leaves ETHUSD softer into today's session — the scenarios below are built around that read, not around any single headline.
- If the Stock Market Crashes, This Is the First ETF I'm Loading Up On — Nasdaq
- UK banks face 10,000 complaints in 3 months over crypto restrictions — CoinDesk
- Netanyahu rebuked for plan to use crypto to bypass economic sanctions - Reuters — Reuters Markets
- Netanyahu floats use of blockchain as solution to potential financial sanctions — CoinTelegraph
Standing macro backdrop: the Fed is in a tightening stance; after a 25bp hike on September 16, 2026; September NFP printed 29,000 vs 90,000 consensus — a big dovish miss; Fed hike odds: October 8% (as of October 23, 2026), December 85% (as of October 24, 2026).
Charts
No SBT model is forming cleanly on these charts today, so the SBT lens is not used — the levels above stand on their own. (What is SBT?)
Chart reading — D1: A bearish 123 is taking shape, but structure has not broken yet — no BOS means no model trigger on this timeframe. Price wicked into the demand zone 2,272.54–2,354.30 and held — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. No clean equal-high/low liquidity pools sit near price on the daily chart.
Chart reading — H4: The 4-hour chart shows no completed 123 yet — price is moving bearish without a clear swing sequence. A wick probed the demand zone 2,266.99–2,292.61 and was absorbed — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. Liquidity pools of the equal-high/low kind are absent around price on this timeframe.
Chart reading — H1: A bullish 123 is taking shape, but structure has not broken yet — no BOS means no model trigger on this timeframe. A sharp excursion into the demand zone 2,310.39–2,320.67 got faded — buyers defended the PD array, the retest SBT Models 7/8 wait for. No equal-high/low liquidity pools nearby on this timeframe.
Chart reading — M15: Intraday, the 15-minute chart has no clean 123 — short-term price action is neutral and unstructured. Demand 2,320.84–2,326.20 below, supply 2,345.23–2,350.59 above — both PD arrays untouched; the first test decides the range scenario. No equal highs or lows stand out as liquidity magnets on the 15-minute chart.
A final note
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research before making any decision.
